Saturday, January 4, 2014

The age of e-mortgages in Canada & a 2014 mortgage outlook


I hope everyone is having a good start to 2014. This week's blog entry has to do with market predictions for 2014. How does the real estate market look in 2014? Will 2014 bring us additional Federal mortgages changes? This time of year these are the "usual suspect" type questions. 

Often I listen to and read about speeches and articles that talk about the future of mortgages and the direction of real estate in Canada. I often follow Robert McLister, mortgage columnist for the Globe & Mail. On 30 December 2013, Robert wrote an article entitled "Five Canadian mortgage market predictions for 2014." This article outlines a couple areas such as:
  1. The expectation that more mortgage tightening is on its way: I think that more change is definitely en route as the Feds try to further dampen market values. I can understand that controlling market values is paramount however I'd keep an eye on unsecured debt as well. Canadians tend to have equity which is great but I've seen more and more clients with more personal debt than equity in their property(ies).
  2. Stronger online presence: More and more websites pop up that advertise mortgage rates. I agree with Rob that this trend will continue as more and more consumers look to the web to research mortgage information and options. People don't have the time to shop from bank to bank anymore. However, as we shift further into an indebted society and where mortgages are more challenging to qualify for, I still would argue that qualified mortgage brokers do serve a purpose. Here is where selling mortgages strictly based on rate can create a problem. For example, due to one's credit, income and equity circumstances you may not qualify for that posted online rate. As mortgage brokers we must do a better job at sharing and disseminating this information to the consumer. 
  3. Credit unions will merge: I'd say this is more applicable in Western Canada and Ontario.
  4. Hybrid mortgages will become more popular: A hybrid mortgage is a mortgage that is split into two segments. Typically one is fixed and the other portion could be on variable rate. Do these mortgages help save you money over time? I'd argue in most case probably not! Most banks that offer a hybrid mortgage would have each mortgage balance on a different term. In other words, if you need to sell or refinance then you could be faced with a larger penalty for no reason. If you are certain you won't touch your mortgage then this could be an option for you. Again, as mortgage brokers we must do a better job at explaining the in's and out's of such mortgages as they aren't designed for everyone. 
  5. Consumer IQ will increase: In the age of open information the consumer has much more resources at their fingertips. I would argue the mortgage and other related information has been controlled. Given the role of the web, radio, and print I'd argue that it's important to share that information openly with the consumer. Yes the consumer is more informed but it's also important that we mortgage brokers continue to guide informed clients and gauge their expectations in a realistic manner. From there we can match the consumer’s needs and goals with the right mortgage.
I always welcome feedback and comments. Have a great week everyone.


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