I hope everyone is having a good start to 2014. This week's blog entry has to do with market predictions for 2014. How does the real estate market look in 2014? Will 2014 bring us additional Federal mortgages changes? This time of year these are the "usual suspect" type questions.
Often I listen to and read about speeches and articles that talk about
the future of mortgages and the direction of real estate in Canada. I often
follow Robert McLister, mortgage columnist
for the Globe & Mail. On 30 December
2013, Robert wrote an article entitled "Five
Canadian mortgage market predictions for 2014." This
article outlines a couple areas such as:
- The expectation that more
mortgage tightening is on its way: I think that more change is definitely en
route as the Feds try to further dampen market values. I can understand
that controlling market values is paramount however I'd keep an eye on
unsecured debt as well. Canadians tend to have equity which is great but
I've seen more and more clients with more personal debt than equity in their
property(ies).
- Stronger online presence: More and more websites pop
up that advertise mortgage rates. I agree with Rob that this trend will
continue as more and more consumers look to the web to research mortgage
information and options. People don't have the time to shop from bank to
bank anymore. However, as we shift further into an indebted society and
where mortgages are more challenging to qualify for, I still would argue
that qualified mortgage brokers do serve a purpose. Here is where selling
mortgages strictly based on rate can create a problem. For example, due to
one's credit, income and equity circumstances you may not qualify for that
posted online rate. As mortgage brokers we must do a better job at sharing
and disseminating this information to the consumer.
- Credit unions will merge: I'd say this is more
applicable in Western Canada and Ontario.
- Hybrid mortgages will become
more popular: A
hybrid mortgage is a mortgage that is split into two segments. Typically
one is fixed and the other portion could be on variable rate. Do these
mortgages help save you money over time? I'd argue in most case probably
not! Most banks that offer a hybrid mortgage would have each mortgage balance
on a different term. In other words, if you need to sell or refinance then
you could be faced with a larger penalty for no reason. If you are certain
you won't touch your mortgage then this could be an option for you. Again,
as mortgage brokers we must do a better job at explaining the in's and
out's of such mortgages as they aren't designed for everyone.
- Consumer IQ will increase: In the age of open
information the consumer has much more resources at their fingertips. I
would argue the mortgage and other related information has been
controlled. Given the role of the web, radio, and print I'd argue that
it's important to share that information openly with the consumer. Yes the
consumer is more informed but it's also important that we mortgage brokers
continue to guide informed clients and gauge their expectations in a
realistic manner. From there we can match the consumer’s needs and goals
with the right mortgage.
I always
welcome feedback and comments. Have a great week everyone.
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